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Backdraft

NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7

When options dealers are net short gamma, their hedging chases price instead of leaning against it — moves get amplified rather than damped. Backdraft reads the direction of the first fifteen minutes after the New York open and, only on those short-gamma days (prior-day QQQ net GEX below zero, computed from our own live option-chain feed), follows it to the close. No stop, no target, one trade a day, flat overnight — and deliberately flat whenever gamma is positive. Honest disclosure up front: this is a regime sleeve. The seven-year backtest was dormant-to-negative in 2019–21, then printed five straight green years once the short-gamma era began in 2022 (67–68% win rate in 2025–26, t=2.6 overall, max drawdown $94k). If the regime leaves, so does the edge — the live record will show it either way. Uncorrelated to every other sleeve on this board (+0.07…+0.16).

  • Prior-EOD net GEX < 0 gate
  • 09:30→09:45 direction read
  • Hold to the 16:00 close
  • 1 trade/day · flat overnight

Signals

$100/mo

  • Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
  • Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
  • Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
  • Cancel anytime

Full source code

$9,999 one-time

  • Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
  • Backtest harness + parameters
  • Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
  • Delivered within 24h to your account email

Track record

Backtest

Backtest 2019-03-08 → 2026-02-27 · 7y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippage
Returns
Net P&L+$292,573
Annualized P&L+$41,940
Profit factor1.27
Expectancy / trade+$323
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.97
Sortino1.52
Calmar0.45
Recovery factor3.12
Drawdown & risk
Max drawdown−$93,657
Worst trade−$21,484
Max consec. losses8
Trade stats
Trades906
Win rate54.5%
Avg trades / mo10.82
Payoff ratio1.06
Avg win+$2,766
Avg loss−$2,606

Live paper-trading

Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01
Live · since Jun 2026
Net P&L+$6,842
Trades14
Win rate64.3%
Profit factor1.37
Expectancy / trade+$489
Max drawdown−$16,099
DateSideEntryExitP&LReason
2026-07-27 SHORT 2845528192.75 +$5,221 moc
2026-07-24 SHORT 28483.2528283.75 +$3,966 moc
2026-07-23 LONG 28855.2528614.25 −$4,845 moc
2026-07-21 SHORT 29144.529311.75 −$3,370 moc
2026-07-20 LONG 29177.7528784.75 −$7,885 moc
2026-07-16 SHORT 29316.529217 +$1,966 moc
2026-07-14 SHORT 29752.7529786 −$690 moc
2026-07-09 LONG 29859.2529948.5 +$1,761 moc
2026-07-08 LONG 29349.529457.25 +$2,131 moc
2026-07-06 LONG 2991729961.5 +$866 moc
2026-06-29 LONG 2978630040.25 +$5,061 moc
2026-06-26 SHORT 29343.529435.25 −$1,860 moc
2026-06-24 SHORT 29662.529485 +$3,526 moc
2026-06-08 SHORT 2951629465 +$996 moc

Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data (1 NQ contract, $4.50 commission, 1-tick slippage). The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.