Backdraft
NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7When options dealers are net short gamma, their hedging chases price instead of leaning against it — moves get amplified rather than damped. Backdraft reads the direction of the first fifteen minutes after the New York open and, only on those short-gamma days (prior-day QQQ net GEX below zero, computed from our own live option-chain feed), follows it to the close. No stop, no target, one trade a day, flat overnight — and deliberately flat whenever gamma is positive. Honest disclosure up front: this is a regime sleeve. The seven-year backtest was dormant-to-negative in 2019–21, then printed five straight green years once the short-gamma era began in 2022 (67–68% win rate in 2025–26, t=2.6 overall, max drawdown $94k). If the regime leaves, so does the edge — the live record will show it either way. Uncorrelated to every other sleeve on this board (+0.07…+0.16).
- Prior-EOD net GEX < 0 gate
- 09:30→09:45 direction read
- Hold to the 16:00 close
- 1 trade/day · flat overnight
Signals
$100/mo
- Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
- Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
- Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
- Cancel anytime
Full source code
$9,999 one-time
- Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
- Backtest harness + parameters
- Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
- Delivered within 24h to your account email
Track record
Backtest
Backtest 2019-03-08 → 2026-02-27 · 7y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippageLive paper-trading
Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01| Date | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | SHORT | 28455 | 28192.75 | +$5,221 | moc |
| 2026-07-24 | SHORT | 28483.25 | 28283.75 | +$3,966 | moc |
| 2026-07-23 | LONG | 28855.25 | 28614.25 | −$4,845 | moc |
| 2026-07-21 | SHORT | 29144.5 | 29311.75 | −$3,370 | moc |
| 2026-07-20 | LONG | 29177.75 | 28784.75 | −$7,885 | moc |
| 2026-07-16 | SHORT | 29316.5 | 29217 | +$1,966 | moc |
| 2026-07-14 | SHORT | 29752.75 | 29786 | −$690 | moc |
| 2026-07-09 | LONG | 29859.25 | 29948.5 | +$1,761 | moc |
| 2026-07-08 | LONG | 29349.5 | 29457.25 | +$2,131 | moc |
| 2026-07-06 | LONG | 29917 | 29961.5 | +$866 | moc |
| 2026-06-29 | LONG | 29786 | 30040.25 | +$5,061 | moc |
| 2026-06-26 | SHORT | 29343.5 | 29435.25 | −$1,860 | moc |
| 2026-06-24 | SHORT | 29662.5 | 29485 | +$3,526 | moc |
| 2026-06-08 | SHORT | 29516 | 29465 | +$996 | moc |
Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data (1 NQ contract, $4.50 commission, 1-tick slippage). The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.