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Ignition

NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7

Reads 5-min auction structure on the Nasdaq-100 future intraday: a balance/consolidation, then a breakout that HOLDS (acceptance — not a fakeout), taken in open air away from the obvious overnight and prior-day levels (those tend to absorb the move; the edge is where there's no overhead supply). Stop just past the consolidation structure, fixed risk-reward. Validated seven-year, out-of-sample stable and survives realistic costs — and it's uncorrelated to Bellwether and Slipstream (corr ~−0.05), so it's a genuinely diversifying intraday sleeve rather than more of the same. Live since June 2026 — the seven-year backtest is shown alongside the growing live track record.

  • Intraday auction/balance
  • Breakout acceptance
  • Structure stop + fixed R:R
  • Uncorrelated sleeve

Signals

$100/mo

  • Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
  • Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
  • Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
  • Cancel anytime
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Full source code

$9,999 one-time

  • Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
  • Backtest harness + parameters
  • Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
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Track record

Backtest

Backtest 2019-03-01 → 2026-06-16 · 7.3y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippage
Returns
Net P&L+$170,304
Annualized P&L+$23,350
Profit factor1.08
Expectancy / trade+$43
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.55
Sortino0.99
Calmar0.40
Recovery factor2.93
Drawdown & risk
Max drawdown−$58,029
Worst trade−$8,617
Max consec. losses12
Trade stats
Trades3923
Win rate47%
Avg trades / mo44.82
Payoff ratio1.22
Avg win+$1,242
Avg loss−$1,020

Live paper-trading

Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01
Live · since 2026-06-01
Net P&L−$26,549
Trades97
Win rate40.2%
Profit factor0.72
Expectancy / trade−$274
Max drawdown−$39,767
DateSideEntryExitP&LReason
2026-10-2612:05 ET SHORT 29465.7529439.5 +$518 eod
2026-10-2310:50 ET LONG 29277.2529122.25 −$3,107 eod
2026-10-2212:55 ET SHORT 2919529145 +$993 eod
2026-10-2113:05 ET LONG 30072.7529991 −$1,647 loss
2026-10-1915:30 ET LONG 29803.7529721.5 −$1,652 eod
2026-10-1911:30 ET LONG 2995029760 −$3,812 loss
2026-10-1611:20 ET SHORT 29714.529379.75 +$6,688 eod
2026-10-1511:10 ET LONG 2999930140.75 +$2,828 eod
2026-10-1415:35 ET LONG 3023630186 −$1,007 eod
2026-10-1411:15 ET SHORT 30390.2530093.75 +$5,923 win
2026-10-1311:05 ET SHORT 30708.2530785.25 −$1,547 eod
2026-10-1215:05 ET SHORT 3086130892.25 −$637 loss
2026-10-1211:55 ET LONG 3096330877.5 −$1,722 loss
2026-10-0814:25 ET LONG 30997.2530976.5 −$422 eod
2026-10-0811:50 ET SHORT 3120831299.75 −$1,847 loss
2026-10-0711:45 ET LONG 31345.2531396 +$1,008 eod
2026-10-0612:10 ET SHORT 31542.7531481 +$1,228 eod
2026-10-0512:55 ET LONG 3126531338 +$1,453 eod
2026-10-0212:20 ET LONG 31117.7531070 −$962 eod
2026-10-0113:30 ET LONG 3079930772.75 −$532 eod

Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data, one NQ contract, with each sleeve's own commission and slippage charged on every fill — between $9 and $24.50 round turn depending on how it exits. Every record runs from 1 June 2026. Rows dated before the sleeve itself shipped are a backfill and carry a bf tag wherever they surface in the trade table; everything from the launch date on was traded forward.

Rebuilt 31 July 2026. The whole record was re-derived from our own archived tick path: every session the archive covers end to end was replayed through the agent's unmodified production code — the backfilled portion included, so it is no longer backtest output but the same code run over recorded prints. That corrected fills which had been booked at the trigger level instead of at the price that actually printed; on gap opens the difference reached 470 points. Sessions the archive cannot cover end to end keep their rows as recorded, because deleting a real trade over a hole in our recorder would flatter the record. On the sessions used as the control, the replay reproduces the live rows to the cent.

The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.