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Ignition

NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7

Reads 5-min auction structure on the Nasdaq-100 future intraday: a balance/consolidation, then a breakout that HOLDS (acceptance — not a fakeout), taken in open air away from the obvious overnight and prior-day levels (those tend to absorb the move; the edge is where there's no overhead supply). Stop just past the consolidation structure, fixed risk-reward. Validated seven-year, out-of-sample stable and survives realistic costs — and it's uncorrelated to Bellwether and Slipstream (corr ~−0.05), so it's a genuinely diversifying intraday sleeve rather than more of the same. Live since June 2026 — the seven-year backtest is shown alongside the growing live track record.

  • Intraday auction/balance
  • Breakout acceptance
  • Structure stop + fixed R:R
  • Uncorrelated sleeve

Signals

$100/mo

  • Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
  • Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
  • Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
  • Cancel anytime
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Full source code

$9,999 one-time

  • Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
  • Backtest harness + parameters
  • Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
  • Delivered within 24h to your account email
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Track record

Backtest

Backtest 2019-03-01 → 2026-06-16 · 7.3y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippage
Returns
Net P&L+$170,304
Annualized P&L+$23,350
Profit factor1.08
Expectancy / trade+$43
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.55
Sortino0.99
Calmar0.40
Recovery factor2.93
Drawdown & risk
Max drawdown−$58,029
Worst trade−$8,617
Max consec. losses12
Trade stats
Trades3923
Win rate47%
Avg trades / mo44.82
Payoff ratio1.22
Avg win+$1,242
Avg loss−$1,020

Live paper-trading

Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01
Live · since 2026-06-01
Net P&L−$29,613
Trades64
Win rate39.1%
Profit factor0.55
Expectancy / trade−$463
Max drawdown−$37,652
DateSideEntryExitP&LReason
2026-09-1012:20 ET SHORT 29175.529138.25 +$738 eod
2026-09-0911:20 ET SHORT 29444.2529455 −$222 eod
2026-09-0811:25 ET LONG 29617.7529543 −$1,502 eod
2026-09-0414:55 ET LONG 29528.7529568.75 +$793 eod
2026-09-0412:25 ET LONG 2955429477.75 −$1,537 loss
2026-09-0315:15 ET SHORT 29538.2529531 +$138 eod
2026-09-0114:15 ET SHORT 29102.2529126.75 −$497 eod
2026-08-2815:00 ET SHORT 29455.529496.5 −$827 eod
2026-08-2713:50 ET SHORT 2961829678.75 −$1,227 loss
2026-08-2615:00 ET LONG 29321.7529297.75 −$487 eod
2026-08-2612:10 ET SHORT 2920729291.75 −$1,707 loss
2026-08-2512:25 ET LONG 29286.529270.5 −$327 eod
2026-08-2415:45 ET SHORT 2913129099.25 +$628 eod
2026-08-2114:40 ET SHORT 29361.2529410.75 −$1,002 loss
2026-08-2011:45 ET SHORT 29278.529306.5 −$567 eod
2026-08-1911:05 ET LONG 29596.2529521.25 −$1,507 eod
2026-08-1811:05 ET SHORT 29561.2529585.5 −$492 eod
2026-08-1715:00 ET LONG 30122.2530079 −$877 loss
2026-08-1411:35 ET SHORT 30048.2530144.25 −$1,927 eod
2026-08-1311:40 ET SHORT 30151.7530267.75 −$2,332 loss

Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data, one NQ contract, with each sleeve's own commission and slippage charged on every fill — between $9 and $24.50 round turn depending on how it exits. Every record runs from 1 June 2026. Rows dated before the sleeve itself shipped are a backfill and carry a bf tag wherever they surface in the trade table; everything from the launch date on was traded forward.

Rebuilt 31 July 2026. The whole record was re-derived from our own archived tick path: every session the archive covers end to end was replayed through the agent's unmodified production code — the backfilled portion included, so it is no longer backtest output but the same code run over recorded prints. That corrected fills which had been booked at the trigger level instead of at the price that actually printed; on gap opens the difference reached 470 points. Sessions the archive cannot cover end to end keep their rows as recorded, because deleting a real trade over a hole in our recorder would flatter the record. On the sessions used as the control, the replay reproduces the live rows to the cent.

The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.